How Much Do You Need to Retire in New Jersey or Pennsylvania?

Edward Goldstein, CFP |
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There is no single “magic number” for retirement in New Jersey or Pennsylvania. The amount you need depends on your lifestyle, the income you expect from Social Security and pensions, investment assets, taxes, property taxes, health care costs, and how long your retirement may last.

For many people in South Jersey, the Philadelphia suburbs, Bucks County, Montgomery County, Delaware County, and surrounding communities, the key difference is not simply where you live—it is how each state treats retirement income, property taxes, and other recurring costs. Should you remain in New Jersey, move to Pennsylvania, downsize, retire closer to family, or keep options open in both states? Pennsylvania can be notably more favorable for some retirees’ state income taxes, while New Jersey’s property-tax and retirement-income rules deserve more deliberate planning.

Quick answer: Every $40,000 of annual income needed from an investment portfolio points to roughly $1 million in savings at a 4% initial withdrawal rate. That is a broad, back-of-the-envelope guideline—not a personal retirement recommendation. Your actual retirement target can be meaningfully higher or lower based on Social Security, pensions, investment returns, taxes, property taxes, Medicare, health care, spending flexibility, and the length of your retirement.

 

For example:
                             $60,000  ÷  0.04  =   $1,500,000

A household that needs $60,000 per year from investments may initially estimate that it needs approximately $1.5 million. But a calculation like this does not tell you whether $60,000 is sustainable for your retirement. It does not reveal how a poor early market period, a higher-than-expected property-tax bill, a Roth conversion, or a decision to claim Social Security early could affect the result.

The purpose of these examples is to give you a useful starting framework—not a shortcut around planning.

How to Calculate Your Retirement Number

The best retirement calculation does not begin with an arbitrary savings target. It begins with your projected spending and the income sources expected to support it.

Ask two questions:

  1. What do I expect to spend each year in retirement?
  2. How much of that spending must be funded from my investment portfolio?

To answer the second question, subtract Social Security, pensions, annuities, rental income, part-time work, and other dependable income from your anticipated spending.

Illustrative annual retirement budget

Amount

Desired annual retirement spending

$120,000

Less: Social Security benefits

-$45,000

Less: Pension or annuity income

-$10,000

Income needed from investments

$65,000

Using a 4% initial withdrawal rate: 


                             $65,000  ÷  0.04  =   $1,625,000


In this example, the household needs approximately $1.625 million in investable assets to produce $65,000 of first-year portfolio income. This is a useful starting calculation, but not a complete retirement plan.

That figure should be viewed as a starting estimate only. A portfolio calculation can look reasonable on paper but still be incomplete if the household has high taxes, major fixed expenses, an early retirement date, limited spending flexibility, a large mortgage, a concentrated investment position, or a desire to preserve meaningful assets for heirs.

Retirement savings estimates

Annual income needed from investments

Portfolio at 3.5%

Portfolio at 4.0%

Portfolio at 4.5%

$40,000

$1,143,000

$1,000,000

$889,000

$50,000

$1,429,000

$1,250,000

$1,111,000

$60,000

$1,714,000

$1,500,000

$1,333,000

$80,000

$2,286,000

$2,000,000

$1,778,000

$100,000

$2,857,000

$2,500,000

$2,222,000

Important: These are broad illustrations, not retirement-income guarantees. They assume the annual income gap is correct and that the withdrawal-rate assumption fits the retiree’s situation. A 55-year-old retiring early with most of their assets in conservative investments may need a different plan than a 67-year-old couple with pension income, diversified investments, and flexibility to reduce discretionary spending when markets are weak.

The question is not merely, “Do I have enough saved?” It is also:

  • How much of my spending is essential versus discretionary?
  • How long might I need the money to last?
  • What types of investments do I own?
  • How will taxes affect my withdrawals?
  • What happens if returns are lower early in retirement?
  • What happens if one spouse needs long-term care or survives many years after the other?

The 4% Rule and the Rule of 25

The 4% rule is a common retirement-planning guideline. It suggests withdrawing 4% of your portfolio in the first year of retirement, then increasing that dollar amount for inflation in later years.

For a $1 million portfolio:


                             $1,000,000  x  4%  =   $40,000

 

The related "rule of 25" simply reverses the calculation. Multiply the annual income you need from investments by 25 to estimate the portfolui required:


                             $60,000  x  25  =   $1,500,000


The traditional 4% rule does not mean taking 4% of whatever your account balance happens to be every year. It generally assumes an initial withdrawal amount, annual inflation adjustments, a diversified portfolio, and a retirement period of about 30 years.

Morningstar’s recent retirement-income research estimates a 3.9% starting withdrawal rate for a 30-year time horizon under its base assumptions. The same research indicates that retirees who can adjust discretionary spending may support a higher starting withdrawal rate in some circumstances.

Why the Same Portfolio Can Produce Different Results

Consider two retirees, each beginning retirement with $1.5 million.

Factor

Retiree A

Retiree B

Retirement age

67

60

Planned retirement horizon

28 years

38 years

Investment approach

Diversified stock and bond portfolio

Highly conservative portfolio with lower expected return

Spending flexibility

Can reduce travel and discretionary expenses

Most spending is fixed

Guaranteed income

Social Security and pension income

Social Security starts later; no pension

Initial portfolio withdrawal

$55,000

$55,000

Both retirees start with the same $1.5 million and withdraw the same dollar amount. Yet their retirement risks are quite different.

Retiree A has a shorter planning horizon, more dependable income, and flexibility to adjust lifestyle expenses. Retiree B needs the money to last longer, depends more heavily on the portfolio, may earn lower long-term returns from a more conservative allocation, and has less ability to reduce spending after a poor market period.

That is why the 4% rule is best understood as a general guideline. Investment allocation, return assumptions, inflation, taxes, retirement timing, and spending behavior can change the analysis.

What the 4% rule does not solve

A withdrawal-rate estimate does not fully address:

  • Federal, New Jersey, or Pennsylvania income taxes.
  • Social Security claiming choices.
  • Pension and survivor-income decisions.
  • Medicare premiums and health care costs.
  • Long-term-care or home-care needs.
  • Required minimum distributions from traditional retirement accounts.
  • Roth conversion opportunities.
  • Large one-time expenses, including home repairs or vehicle replacement.
  • A poor market sequence early in retirement.
  • Retirement lasting 35 or 40 years.

A financial planner can help test how these variables work together rather than treating a retirement plan as a single percentage calculation.

New Jersey vs. Pennsylvania Retirement Taxes

State income taxes can affect the amount you need to withdraw from investments to produce the same after-tax spending. This is especially relevant for people who live, work, own property, or expect to move between New Jersey and Pennsylvania.

However, tax comparisons should be handled carefully. State tax treatment is only one variable. A move from New Jersey to Pennsylvania may lower state tax on qualified retirement distributions, but the broader financial impact also depends on property taxes, housing prices, inheritance tax, relocation costs, family needs, insurance, and health care access.

New Jersey retirement income taxes

New Jersey does not tax Social Security benefits or Railroad Retirement benefits. That makes Social Security a valuable after-tax income source for New Jersey retirees.

New Jersey also provides a Retirement Income Exclusion for qualifying residents who are age 62 or older, or disabled under Social Security guidelines, when total income is $150,000 or less. Eligible taxpayers may exclude all or part of qualifying pension, annuity, IRA, and certain other retirement income, depending on income and filing status.

New Jersey retirement-income exclusion

Married filing jointly

Single / head of household

Married filing separately

Maximum exclusion if total income is $100,000 or less

$100,000

$75,000

$50,000

Partial exclusion if income is $100,001–$125,000

50%

37.5%

25%

Partial exclusion if income is $125,001–$150,000

25%

18.75%

12.5%

Available if total income exceeds $150,000

No

No

No

These thresholds can make tax-smart withdrawals especially important. A large IRA distribution, capital gain, consulting income, business income, or Roth conversion may increase total income and affect eligibility for the exclusion.

For example, a retiree who sees a favorable Roth conversion opportunity may benefit from paying federal tax now to create future tax-free Roth assets. But a large conversion could also increase New Jersey taxable income, affect a retirement-income exclusion, and potentially influence future Medicare premium surcharges. The strategy may still be appropriate—but it should be modeled rather than assumed.

New Jersey also allows eligible homeowners to deduct property taxes paid, up to $15,000, or claim a property-tax credit, depending on their tax circumstances. Renters may generally treat 18% of rent paid during the year as property taxes paid for this purpose.

Pennsylvania retirement income taxes

Pennsylvania generally does not tax Social Security benefits, qualifying pension income, or qualifying distributions from retirement accounts such as traditional IRAs and 401(k)s after retirement or after the applicable plan and age requirements are met.

Pennsylvania’s flat personal-income-tax rate can still apply to other income categories, including wages, interest, dividends, business income, and many investment gains. Local earned-income taxes may also apply if you continue working, depending on where you live or work.

Retirement-income category

New Jersey

Pennsylvania

Social Security benefits

Not taxed by the state

Not taxed by the state

Pension income

May qualify for the Retirement Income Exclusion if eligibility requirements are met

Generally exempt as qualifying retirement income

Traditional IRA and 401(k) withdrawals

May qualify for the Retirement Income Exclusion; income thresholds matter

Generally exempt if the distribution qualifies as retirement income

Interest and dividends

Generally taxable

Generally taxable at the state level

Roth conversions

May affect New Jersey income and Retirement Income Exclusion eligibility

Federal income tax still applies; state treatment depends on the distribution’s character and timing

Estate and inheritance planning

No estate tax, but inheritance-tax considerations may apply

Pennsylvania inheritance tax remains an important planning consideration

Pennsylvania’s retirement-income treatment can be attractive for people who anticipate large traditional IRA or 401(k) withdrawals. But it is not automatically a reason to move.

A family might save state income tax in Pennsylvania but face different school-district property taxes, moving expenses, estate-planning implications, or a loss of convenient access to their existing medical providers, family, friends, or support system. The best decision combines financial analysis with the life you want to live.

Property Taxes, Housing, and Local Cost of Living

For many retirees, housing is their largest recurring expense even after the mortgage is paid off. Property taxes, homeowners insurance, utilities, maintenance, repairs, and eventual accessibility updates can create meaningful annual costs.

New Jersey property-tax considerations

New Jersey property taxes can be a major part of a retirement budget. A recent estimate placed the median annual property-tax bill for New Jersey homeowners at $9,358, although the actual bill depends heavily on the municipality, assessed value, and available property-tax relief. 

Illustrative annual homeownership costs

Example amount

Property taxes

$10,000

Homeowners insurance

$2,000

Utilities, internet, and basic services

$5,000

Maintenance and repair reserve

$6,000

Estimated annual housing carrying cost

$23,000

This table is an illustration—not a prediction for every homeowner. A retiree living in one municipality may pay far less, while another household may pay substantially more. Some homeowners may have a mortgage, a second home, large deferred-maintenance needs, or future costs for renovations that support aging in place.

A paid-off home can provide meaningful flexibility, but it does not make housing free. Include realistic reserves for a roof, HVAC replacement, appliances, driveway work, home modifications, and other larger expenses that may not occur every year but are likely over a long retirement.

Eligible New Jersey residents should review property-tax-relief programs, including Senior Freeze and other available benefits. Senior Freeze eligibility depends on age or disability, residency, ownership or rental status, income, and program rules. Published income limits include $168,268 for 2024 and $172,475 for 2025.

Pennsylvania property-tax considerations

Pennsylvania property taxes are determined locally, so the difference between counties, school districts, and municipalities can be substantial. A lower state income-tax burden does not necessarily mean a lower total cost of living in every community.

Pennsylvania’s Property Tax/Rent Rebate Program can provide assistance to eligible older adults and people with disabilities. In 2026, the program’s income limit for applicants was increased to $48,110, with standard rebate amounts varying by household income and eligibility.

When comparing locations, evaluate the full housing picture:

  • Annual property taxes, not only the home’s purchase price.
  • Homeowners or renters insurance.
  • Utility and maintenance expenses.
  • County, municipal, and school-district taxes.
  • Proximity to family, medical providers, travel, and services.
  • Whether the home can support aging in place.
  • The cost of downsizing, moving, or maintaining a second home.

Medicare and Health Care in Retirement

Health care should be a dedicated line item in a retirement plan—not a small percentage added to a generic budget.

For 2026, the standard Medicare Part B premium is $202.90 per month, or $2,434.80 per year per person. For a married couple both paying the standard premium, Part B alone totals approximately $4,870 annually before prescription-drug coverage, deductibles, copays, dental, vision, hearing, and supplemental coverage. 

Health care expense

Why it belongs in the retirement plan

Medicare Part B

A recurring premium that can rise over time

Medicare Part D

Prescription-drug coverage premium and possible income-related surcharge

Medicare Supplement or Medicare Advantage

Affects premiums, provider networks, deductibles, and out-of-pocket exposure

Dental, vision, and hearing

Often not fully covered under Original Medicare

Pre-Medicare insurance

Can be a major expense for anyone retiring before age 65

Home care or long-term care

Can materially increase spending later in retirement

These costs are broad planning categories, not a prediction of your personal medical spending. A healthy 65-year-old with employer retiree coverage may have a different budget from a couple retiring before Medicare eligibility, an individual with recurring prescription costs, or a household that needs extensive in-home care later in life.

Higher-income retirees may pay more for Medicare through Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amounts, commonly called IRMAA. That is one reason investment withdrawals and Roth conversions should be coordinated with your broader retirement strategy rather than made in isolation.

Social Security Timing and Retirement Income

Social Security is more than a monthly benefit. For many retirees, it is a source of inflation-adjusted lifetime income that reduces the annual amount needed from investments.

Retirement benefits can generally begin at age 62. However, claiming before full retirement age permanently reduces the monthly payment. For someone with a full retirement age of 67, claiming at age 62 provides about 70% of the full retirement-age benefit. Furthermore, many people do not realize that claiming Social Security before full retirement age (FRA) while continuing to work can trigger the retirement earnings test. If earned income exceeds certain limits, Social Security may temporarily withhold part of your benefits.

Delaying Social Security after full retirement age can increase monthly benefits until age 70. For someone whose full retirement age is 67, delaying to age 70 can increase benefits by up to 24% compared with claiming at full retirement age.

Claiming approach

Potential benefit

Tradeoff to evaluate

Claim at age 62

Provides earlier cash flow and may reduce immediate portfolio withdrawals

Permanently lower monthly benefit

Claim at full retirement age

Provides the unreduced base benefit

May require investments or work income before benefits begin

Delay toward age 70

Creates higher guaranteed lifetime income and may improve survivor protection

Requires other assets or income while waiting

There is no automatic “best” age to claim Social Security. A person with shorter life expectancy, limited savings, or a need for near-term income may make a different decision than a healthy couple with substantial investment assets and a goal of maximizing the higher earner’s survivor benefit.

For example, a couple might decide to spend more from taxable savings between ages 65 and 70 so the higher earner can delay Social Security. In another case, the same strategy could be unwise because it would deplete emergency reserves too quickly or create an unattractive tax result.

The decision should be evaluated alongside portfolio withdrawals, tax brackets, health, employment plans, pension choices, and survivor-income needs.

Retirement Withdrawal Strategies and Tax Planning

How you withdraw money can matter as much as how much you withdraw.

Many retirees hold multiple account types: bank savings, taxable brokerage accounts, traditional IRAs, 401(k)s, Roth IRAs, pensions, annuities, stock compensation, business interests, real estate, or other investments. Taking money from each account without a coordinated plan can lead to unnecessary taxes, larger-than-needed Medicare premiums, or missed planning opportunities.

A tax-aware retirement withdrawal strategy can help coordinate:

  • Federal income-tax brackets.
  • New Jersey Retirement Income Exclusion thresholds.
  • Pennsylvania’s retirement-income exclusions.
  • The federal taxation of Social Security benefits.
  • Capital gains and qualified dividends.
  • Medicare IRMAA thresholds.
  • Required minimum distributions.
  • Roth conversion windows before required distributions begin.
  • The tax situation of a surviving spouse.
  • Estate, inheritance-tax, charitable-giving, and legacy goals.

Why Investment Returns Matter

A retirement plan cannot assume the same return every year. The type of investments you own, the amount of stock-market exposure in the portfolio, bond yields, cash reserves, fees, inflation, and taxes all influence how much spending a portfolio may support.

Consider two portfolios that each average 6% annually over 20 years. They may still produce very different retirement outcomes if one suffers significant losses in the first several years while the retiree is taking withdrawals.

This is called sequence-of-returns risk: the order of returns matters when money is regularly leaving the portfolio. A poor market period early in retirement can be more damaging than the same average return pattern occurring later, particularly if withdrawals remain unchanged.

A Retirement Withdrawal Example

Consider a married couple who retires at age 63. They have taxable brokerage assets, traditional IRAs, Roth IRAs, and Social Security benefits they plan to delay for several years.

Rather than automatically taking all retirement income from traditional IRAs, their plan may consider:

  • Drawing selectively from taxable savings and investments.
  • Taking enough traditional IRA income to remain within a desired federal tax bracket.
  • Evaluating partial Roth conversions before required minimum distributions begin.
  • Monitoring New Jersey Retirement Income Exclusion thresholds, if applicable.
  • Avoiding unnecessarily large distributions that could increase future Medicare premiums.
  • Keeping Roth assets available for future flexibility, emergencies, late-retirement spending, or a surviving spouse.
  • Maintaining a reserve for near-term expenses so the household is less likely to sell long-term investments after a market decline.

This does not mean there is one ideal withdrawal sequence for everyone. A different household may have highly appreciated taxable investments, a large pension, charitable goals, a future business sale, or different estate-planning priorities. The best strategy depends on the details.

What If Retirement Lasts Longer?

A retirement plan should be built to handle more than an average life expectancy. For a couple, the plan often needs to account for the possibility that one spouse lives well into their 90s or beyond.

Retirement scenario

Approximate planning horizon

Key consideration

Retire at 67 and plan through age 90

23 years

May allow more flexibility, depending on health and guaranteed income

Retire at 65 and plan through age 95

30 years

Similar to the traditional 4% rule planning horizon

Retire at 60 and plan through age 95

35 years

May require additional savings or a lower initial withdrawal rate

Couple retires at 62 and plans for a surviving spouse through age 100

38+ years

Requires survivor-income, tax, health care, and long-term-care planning

These planning periods are not predictions of life expectancy. They are useful ways to stress-test the possibility of a long retirement.

A long retirement is a positive outcome, but it creates additional financial considerations. The surviving spouse may have a different tax filing status, lower total income, potentially higher health care costs, and different estate-planning needs.

Spending Flexibility Matters

A rigid plan that assumes spending rises automatically every year can be less resilient than a plan that separates essential expenses from discretionary ones.

Essential expenses may include housing, property taxes, insurance, food, Medicare premiums, basic transportation, and debt payments. Discretionary expenses may include travel, gifts, home improvements, elective purchases, or a new vehicle.

A retiree who is comfortable adjusting discretionary spending after a difficult market period may have more flexibility than a retiree whose budget is almost entirely fixed. Research on retirement-income strategies has found that flexible withdrawal approaches and planned spending adjustments can affect the amount a portfolio may reasonably support.

That does not mean retirees should live cautiously or avoid meaningful experiences. It means the financial plan should identify areas of flexibility in advance, rather than forcing difficult choices during a market downturn.

How a Comprehensive Retirement Plan Helps

An online retirement calculator can provide a useful first estimate. A 4% rule table can help you frame the question. Neither can fully account for your state taxes, property-tax bill, Social Security decision, investment allocation, health care needs, long-term-care risk, estate plan, and changing spending throughout retirement.

At Financial Life Planning, we provide a comprehensive financial plan: a personalized roadmap for the next phase of life, built around your goals, resources, and comfort with risk.

It goes beyond simple calculators. We use a sophisticated retirement-planning tool to test “what if” scenarios, gauge your probability of success, and show how today’s decisions may affect your future lifestyle.

Your plan organizes your financial life into an intuitive visual blueprint—net worth, cash flow, savings, and goals—so you can clearly see where you stand. We address:

  • Retirement timing and sustainable retirement income.
  • Investment portfolio allocation, market volatility, and risk management.
  • Social Security claiming and survivor-benefit decisions.
  • New Jersey and Pennsylvania tax-smart withdrawal strategies.
  • Roth conversions, required minimum distributions, and Medicare IRMAA planning.
  • Property taxes, insurance, Medicare, health care, and long-term-care considerations.
  • College funding, family financial goals, and charitable giving.
  • Estate planning, beneficiary designations, and legacy priorities.
  • “What if” scenarios involving lower investment returns, higher inflation, early retirement, increased spending, a longer life, or a major health event.

For an example of the visual retirement analysis and financial-plan framework we can create, download a sample pre-retiree financial report.

Build Your Retirement Plan

The amount you need to retire in New Jersey or Pennsylvania is not a universal dollar figure. The calculations in this article are broad guidelines designed to help you begin thinking about the relationship between spending, guaranteed income, investments, taxes, and retirement duration.

Your actual retirement number may differ substantially from a simple 4% rule estimate. Portfolio returns and the types of investments you own, tax-smart withdrawal sequencing, Social Security timing, property taxes, Medicare premiums, health care needs, retirement age, spending flexibility, and survivor planning can all shift the result.

A comprehensive retirement plan can help you move beyond a generic answer and evaluate the decisions that matter most to your family. If you are approaching retirement, recently retired, considering a move between New Jersey and Pennsylvania, or want an independent review of your retirement-income strategy, click here to schedule a free consultation with a Certified Financial Planner™ professional.

Edward C. Goldstein, CFP®, MBA, President

CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER ™ Practitioner 

Financial Life Planning, LLC

10,000 Lincoln Dr. East, Suite 201

Marlton, NJ  08053

Phone: 856-988-5480

Fax: 908-292-1040